That said we are already seeing a trend of independent left leaning candidates eating into LNP seats in wealthier suburbs. Oxley was traditionally based on the regional city of Ipswich, though these days Ipswich is less regional and more part of greater Brisbane. Electoral success is no determiner of ministerial competence, or successs. Ipswich is rapidly transforming from an industrial hub of SE QLD (the powerbox of Brisbane), into a dormitory suburb of aspirational young families who work cant quite afford to live in Brisbane or the Gold Coast. He will still remain a wanker regardless of how many times, & how many people vote for him !. Neumann has been re-elected four times since his first win in 2010. Queensland has 30 seats and is a large reason that Labor only just got over the line to majority government by their poor performance there. Actually come up here to the marginale and Actually talk to voters which is something I have done and they will tell you. Official websites use .gov 87.87% counted. Support James. None of that sounds very sustainable. Queensland is currently divided into 93 state electorates. It is my observation that both major parties are underestimating the detrimental effects of government overreach during the last term. We pay our respects to the people, the cultures and the elders past, present and emerging. @ Ben, tell me what seats in Qld the Coalition will be picking up? 1. Australians are voting for the next federal government. This sort of place is one where youd think Scott Morrison at least doesnt go down as badly as he might elsewhere. Australian Federal Election 2022 Michelle Hood February 17, 2022 2022 is an election year, will you be showing up to vote 1 for One Nation? Two more points to consider to add the Observers points. Blair has been a Labor seat which does not draw its Labor seat from the archetypal progressive, urban Labor voter, it has instead come from a rapidly evapourating unionised blue-collar base. On February 19, 2018, Pennsylvania's Supreme Court released a new congressional map for Pennsylvania. The sense of entitlement is just awesomely out there. ), Labor recorded two-party preferred majorities in 27 of the 34 polling places used in 2019, the Liberals polling well in the Centenary suburbs in the north of the electorate, but Labor dominant further south. In 2019, it had not only been globalisation which had been a perceived threat to job-security in the region, action against climate change had been at a fever pitch in the election, Coalition and the micro-parties took advantage of this while Labor didnt offer a compelling vision of opportunity for QLDs regions. Christian Values Checklist Released for Federal Election 21 May 2022 Warwick Marsh 29 April 2022 3.6 MINS Editor's Note: A New Second Edition Christian Values Checklist has been released. Senator for Queensland. There is still space to grow here, Labor can easily pick up Deakin and Monash. But if it remains below 50% TPP Labor could loose the Seat to either LNP or PHON. Rachael Jacobs Candidate for Grayndler. The FEC will update its map to reflect the new congressional districts and boundaries once information has been made available from each state. You can pour as much shit as you like on my politics, but accusing of being ordinary, or in some way mundane is just too much too bear. Well !? The Liberal Party preselected former Ipswich councillor Pauline Hanson as their candidate in 1996. Ive never agreed with this logic. Hes been perfectly willing to not just play defence and campaign in Labor held seats. For all the brouhaha this will remain a Labor seat. 1996,1977 and 1975 were all better for the coalition and worse for Labor. Dennis Atkins reported that the LNP had faint hopes earlier in the year of winning Blair. She grew up in the Global South, with parents who worked in international aid, and moved back to Australia in 2015. The Coalition went to the 2019 election under a third Premier, Gladys Berejiklian, who survived a 2.3% swing to secure a narrow majority with 48 seats, losing two seats to Labor and four to the cross-bench. There is a reason I believe this is vulnerable because 6% isnt safe. Dont assume 2019 was a high watermark for the LNP. Electorate profile. In public opinion polls, the economy has consistently ranked among the most important issues for registered voters ahead of Election Day. Labors Shayne Neumann is all voice and no action and is taking the constituents of Blair for granted. Federal politicians were understandably peeved last week when they learnt via text that Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk had banned them from returning home until September 8. Teal candidates likely to take seats in NSW state election. Hanson achieved the country's largest anti-Labor swing of more than 19%. Search by state or ZIP code, Look up contributions from specific individuals, Find and contact your committee's analyst. 2. After first being held by the Liberal Party for a decade, it has almost always been won by the ALP, except for the 1996 election, when it was won by disendorsed Liberal candidate Pauline Hanson, who later formed the One Nation party. Does anybody know when the last time Labor had 5 seats or less in QLD? A highly motivated and dynamic Director of Technology with a Master of Science degree in Business and Blockchain Tech, with 10+ years of achievement with distributed systems and solution architecting. Some candidates subsequently amended their registration forms to reflect new district numbers. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. Joint statements by the Presiding Officers, Parliamentary Friendship Groups (non-country), House of Representatives chamber and business documents, Getting involved in Parliamentary Committees, Department of the House of Representatives. Hanson's brief tenure represents the only time since 1961 that the seat has been out of Labor hands. Select the 'Find online' button. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. Leave Winediamond out of it we have the same local polling booth and he thinks Zimmerman is a waste of space so thats good enough for me. Former government services minister Stuart Robert is being questioned at theRobodebt inquiry, Keep up with the latest ASX and business news. Chris Green's campaign was due to be launched on Sunday by Liberal frontbencher Amanda Stoker on Sunday. State/Territory MPs. If you cannot search . With a rare QLD leader of the ALP, I wasnt thinking 2013 was a high water mark for LNP in QLD, but it was in NSW. Enter your address, then select 'Find' to display your results. In Queensland in this election, there were two "turn-overs"the Australian Greens took two seats where the Greens candidate was not leading in the first count. I would NEVER be so mild !. Let's find an outstanding community Independent candidate for the NSW state electorate of Oxley. More often than not, whoever the party brass *thinks* is leadership material is just whoever they personally happen to like. This is a list of electoral division results for the 2022 Australian federal election in the state of Queensland . They would have to do very poorly in Queensland to be in trouble here. LNP pouring resources here. Watch the latest news on Channel 7 or stream for free on 7plus >>. Redbank and Springfield also experienced exceptional growth. The LNP managed 52.4% in the north. The party had a strong result at the Queensland state election in early 1998 and she was predicted to perform strongly at the next federal election. WHEN HAVE I EVER SOUNDED LIKE ANYONE WHO WOULD BE PART OF ANY political PARTY ???. Election funding Electoral law backgrounders Authorising electoral communication Learn about elections Delivering an election Managing the electoral roll Altering electoral divisions Determining ballot paper order Planning voting services Counting the votes Voting and the Government The three levels of government When elections are held Id have this as the best chance for a Liberal pickup in QLD, probably more than Lilley or Moreton. Who is mystery man Scarr? Blair took over territory in Ipswich in 1998 from the seat of Oxley. Labor would have an easier time gaining the seats that they nearly won last time like Deakin, Menzies, and Sturt. Libs will offset any loses in wa with seats in QLD, Nsw and Vic. After Bob Hawkes win, Hayden was appointed Foreign Minister. Population Growth. The composition of industry and employment is becoming more diverse including more independent trades people, as well as white-collar workers who commute into the city and now might also have the affordance to work-from home. Labor are the only party that ever get anything done, LNP, Greens, One Nation, and UAP. Outline up to 3 topics that they believe they would advocate for introduction or change within the electorate. Electors enrolled: 104,214 (at 10.6.2019). Labor is visionless and uninspiring as of 2021, compare Albo to Kevin 07 and Obama 08. The Greens candidate Elizabeth Watson-Brown is a well known architect and has appeal to the middle class voters of the electorate. Kathleen Irene (Oxley) Wiggins. The ALP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in two of these five areas, polling 56.3% in central Ipswich and 60.7% in eastern Ipswich. The term LNP is only used in Queensland. Crime scene visits by juries The ABC has a great write up on how all that works, and if it even . It extends along the Ipswich Motorway from Darra to Redbank. Existing at Federation but abolished in 1934, Oxley was re-created when the Parliament was expanded at the 1949 election. That was due to Pauline Hanson, who was nominated as a Liberal candidate but disendorsed during the campaign. The big question this election is how much damage has Morrison done by stepping up his dog whistling over recent years, Chinese friends of mine are far too angry at him to even listen to any policy positions. Speaker of the House of Representatives from 26.7.2022. Aside from that I havent found Asian Australians or Chinese Australians to be conservative, if any generalisation were to be made Id say most Chinese Australians veer towards the centre, willing to support either party with good economic and social policies. Across the country voting patterns confirm that people want their MP to represent the community rather than the big parties. This was a marginal seat at a very bad election in qld. Equally a long term govt is not necessarily a good govt. You're using Internet Explorer, some features might not work. Walt Secord MLC - announced 19 August 2022; Adam Searle MLC - lost preselection 15 September 2022; Shaoquett Moselmane MLC - did not nominate for endorsement; Guy Zangari MP - announced 17 October 2022; Paul Lynch MP - not preselected November 2022 Governments generally do reward states for how many seats they get with ministries. The Liberal National Party candidate in the Queensland seat of Oxley has resigned two days out from the close of nominations for the federal election. QLD is a no mans land for Labor federally. Our Candidates. The leader of these groups was Long time DLP candidate Harry Wright. Maybe there should be a thread just for general election soothsaying. Hayden served as Member for Oxley for 27 years. Betting markets are clearly expecting a Labor tide in Queensland. The Coalition could win this seat, Please do not write them off here, It could happen! I think LNP sense long term opportunity in both seats. Geography Blair covers most of the City of Ipswich as well as Somerset Regional Council. Independent Oxley is a group of passionate locals who believe in community independent rather than party representation. I stand by it. This election was held using instant-runoff voting . The Courier Mail are reporting that Chris Green has been dropped as the LNP candidate and he has quit the parrty altogether. History Blair was created at the 1998 election, one of a number of seats created in Queensland over the last few decades. These are the battleground seats Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese are targeting. Oxley was won by Labor's Bernie Ripoll in 1998, succeeded by current MP Milton Dick in 2016. Thats news to the Morrison ministry. In 1998 Hanson contested the seat of Blair, winning 36% of the primary vote but losing to the Liberals (who got 21%) under Australia's system of preferential voting. Officeholders. In mid 2017, the state electoral boundaries were redrawn to accommodate Queensland's growing and shifting population. You can: Select a Federal Electorate for: the current member and party a map and profile of the electorate a list of all localities within that electorate Comparing the validity of O.S. Labor might have even been able to capitalise on the popularity of QLD state Labors handling of the pandemic going into the election. Hanson was a prominent independent MP and, in 1997, founded the One Nation party in support of her political views. Although, these lower vaccination-rates are a lot more present in the neighbouring division of Wright. Gideon has designed and led programs including Information . Each candidate will give a. And then lost the next primary election, largely because voters didn't like that she made it easier for "children to disobey their parents". Ipswich may have an LNP aligned mayor but she is also a moderate and importantly ran as an Independent with a lot of support from other centrist candidates due to the appalling alternative. Let alone a HACK How dare you ? Unless of course you mean the LNP specifically in QLD; its hard to tell on this site since we all use the terms interchanegably! I NEVER GO OF HALF-COCKED, IF I GO OFF, IT IS ALL THE WAY! The Valkyrie did chuckle as she agreed Well yes! State govt only survived on the covid vote. Hansons seat of Oxley was won in 1998 by ALP candidate Bernie Ripoll, and he held the seat until his retirement in 2016. Facebook for the Australian Greens; YouTube for the . You are trying to close the tab or browser. Labor doesnt have a huge majority but there are some Queensland seats up for grabs in 2025. Labor hold. This is an atrocity for them. You have entered an incorrect email address! year at Oxley Christian College. The LNP's candidate for the relatively safe Labor seat of Oxley . Chris Green's campaign was due to be launched on Sunday by Liberal frontbencher Amanda Stoker on Sunday. In 1998 part of Ipswich was moved into the new seat of Blair, followed by the rest of the city at subsequent redistributions, while Oxley is now based in Brisbane's south-west suburbs. Moved Permanently. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. Guide to the 2022 Australian election Guide to the 2019 Australian election Guide to the 2018 Victorian state election Booths in the City of Brisbane have been split into South-East and North. The 2022 Labor candidate is Rebecca Fanning,. History . Senator Scarr is acting as an Ipswich corridor MP. The LNP narrowly won in northern Ipswich (50.3%) and won more sizeable majorities in the rural areas, winning 55.7% in rural parts of the Ipswich council area and 57.7% in the Somerset council area. There is still room for improvement in QLD for the LNP. Lets catch up on LIberation Day!! 1. Across the country voting patterns confirm that people want their MP to represent the community rather than the big parties. Find a paratrooper!. Blair was super marginal at this election because Labor suffered a huge swing here and in most of QLD in 2019. Most of the so called marginals will be called quickly. 2022 Federal Election Candidates Forum - Oxley | Centenary Chamber Join us as we hear from all the local candidates in the running to be the Federal Member for Oxley at this year's election. Federal election 2022: LNP Oxley candidate Chris Green quietly dropped The LNP's candidate for a relatively safe Labor seat has been quietly dropped from the party's line-up, two days before nominations close. Most of Blairs population lives in the urban area around the centre of Ipswich, and these have been divided into Central, North and East. This is a rural-urban hybrid seat, on the outer suburban fringes. Oxley was the only Queensland electorate retained by Labor at the 1975 election, but was lost to Pauline Hanson at the 1996 defeat of the Keating government. from 2004 to 2008. Oxley in 1996 was a very different seat.it was basically what Blair is now. Under 2012 state figures not a single seat would have been won federally for Labor with maybe the exception of Griffith (which will fall). Time after all candidates have spoken to network with all guests, where discussion and questions can be individually asked. Its almost as if they want the very land they live on to be destroyed by poor economic, and environmental management. Results 1983-2019. The date change was necessitated by court order. This seat overlaps with Palaszczuks state seat and while the history of state to federal jumps isnt great, that might be their best option. It wouldve been more useful picking somebody from WA or Victoria but I suppose there wasnt many options left anymore. Oxley covers the southwestern suburbs of the City of Brisbane and eastern parts of the City of Ipswich. The 1949 incarnation's best-known member was Bill Hayden, the Labor Opposition Leader between 1977 and 1983, when he resigned under pressure the same day that the 1983 election which swept Bob Hawke to power was called. It is named after colonial explorer and surveyor John Oxley. Even then, Id be surprised to see the Libs not shift into gear (in Blair at least) as election day nears. The seat of Oxley was created as part of the expansion of the House of Representatives at the 1949 election. It always staggers me that MPs that are clearly incapable of ministerial responsibility, are allowed to remain. Like Ryan, this is an almost three way contest where LNP are strong but Greens are increasingly viable. If you want new real leadership material, stop protecting dead-weight, open up preselections, give fairly-preselected candidates the backing they deserve and let them *make* some safe seats. First Name Last Name Email Mobile phone (optional) Send me email updates Send me text messages How many other people are you bringing? The current division is the second to bear the name, and was created in 1949. Senator James McGrath. Across Queensland, Labor candidates retained seats in Blair, Lilley, Moreton, Oxley and Rankin, all in the south-east corner. Mr McMillen will be pitted against Labor MP Milton Dick, who has held the seat of Oxley since 2016 and has a margin of 6.4 per cent. I did the calculations for Blair. In 1961 the Labor Party defeated the Menzies government's Health Minister Donald Cameron, much to the surprise of Labor's candidate, little known Queensland Police Constable Bill Hayden. Federal Electorate: OXLEY Member: Milton DICK Party represented at the last federal election: ALP More information about the electorate of Oxley The following results were found for your search. The Most Interesting Articles, Mysteries and Discoveries. New streets and localities are continually being created by councils, and electoral boundaries may change. Certainly not Lilley. For the WA seats, I doubt that Moore or Canning would fall since Labor would probably reduce their resources spent in WA and focus their efforts into sandbagging Sam Lim in Tangney and Dutton will certainly do whatever he can to save his factional allies Ian Goodenough and Andrew Hastie. According to a Reuters tally of provisional results announced by electoral officials in all 36 states and the federal capital Abuja, Tinubu was leading with about 35% or 8.2 million of valid votes . I see you say ALP aim to hold on here on other pages. Gideon Rasmussen is a Cybersecurity Management Consultant with over 20 years of experience in corporate and military organizations. A list of profiles for Candidates A-Z in the Federal Election 2022 I have absolutely no idea what value he provides the ALP, while theres huge demand for leadership contenders in Queensland. Business; Politics; Military; Elections; Law; Immigration; Technology. A en I have found that increasingly in recent years the Chinese ethnic vote has increasingly been highly supportive of Red China. from 2000 to 2004. Do you want to save current progress? The seat was held by the Liberal Party until 2007, when the ALP won. The ALP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in two areas, polling 58.3% in the south-west and 67.3% in the south-east. promised but never delivered and has been used as a political tool for every state and federal election This was done to ensure each electorate has roughly . The race on election night will between Labor and the Greens to see who comes second and will be the beneficiary of the other's preferences. This story is written in a personal capacity. It includes all of the Inala housing estate and the nearby newer estates of Forest Lake and Springfield, as well as the Centenary Suburbs of Middle Park, Mount Ommaney, Jindalee and Sinnamon Park. Booths have been divided into five areas. AEST = Australian Eastern Standard Time which is 10 hours ahead of GMT (Greenwich Mean Time). Also may I point out here 7/10 people have never heard of him either. Mr Green's campaign Facebook page and website have been taken down. She is doing a magnificent job and she too will be re-elected in a landslide. And yet a group of football WAGS flew into the Sunshine State on a charter flight from Sydney on Monday. The Division of Oxley is an Australian Electoral Division in Queensland. Hayden later served as a minister in the Hawke Government before becoming Governor-General in 1989. Has Scott Morrison or one of his underlings turned up here yet? The suggestion Labor give up Queensland is laughable. How ridiculous & completely absurd However before any of your suggestion can happen. This shows concern about what is happening to that base. In 1996, the seat became most well known for controversial social conservative MP Pauline Hanson who was elected as a Liberal-turned-independent, but the seat was heavily redistributed in 1997, splitting her main support base of Ipswich between Oxley and Blair. Candidates are listed using information from their registration forms and may be running in different districts than in the past. Let's find an outstanding community Independent candidate for the NSW state electorate of Oxley! Greens movement Toggle. Theres supposed to be multiple electorate constituencies. As an example, The Greens is stating it will recommend preferencing Labor ahead of the Coalition at the 2022 Federal Election. Javascript recommended: FEC.gov uses Javascript to provide the best possible user experience. Neumann was assisted by a redistribution which saw Blair take in more of pro-Labor Ipswich, losing rural conservatives areas to the northwest. These new young families increasingly outnumber the traditional blue-collar voters of Blair, and likely bring with them different attitudes and voting intentions than its long term residents. Our People Toggle. District maps on this page are approximate. Two-party-preferred vote in Oxley Candidates Timothy Coombes ( United Australia) Asha Worsteling ( Greens) Kyle McMillen ( Liberal National) Dylan Kozlowski ( One Nation) Milton Dick ( Labor) Assessment Oxley is reasonably safe for Labor. Elected to the House of Representatives for Oxley, Queensland, 2016. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Home; News. Red China in those days did not have commissars posted to Queensland uni to ensure that the views of the Red RAt regime were the policy of the uni administration. We haven't announced any federal election candidates in your area. A Trybooking page for the campaign launch initially said: "Join with our warrior Senator Amanda Stoker & Senator Paul Scarr to launch the campaign for Chris Green the LNP Candidate for Oxley. Neumann is complacent and believes if he is seen in the community, then that is all he is required to do. Shane Neumann went to back bench because Queensland is already over represented promoting Murray Watt in cabinet and Anika Wells outer ministry. Thompson held Blair at the 2001 and 2004 elections, but lost in 2007 to Labor candidate Shayne Neumann. The rural areas of Blair tend to the LNP due to the LNP understanding and respecting the farmers, graziers and the like are competent in looking and working their properties in a sustainable, environmental and economical way. House of Representatives Determiner of ministerial responsibility, are allowed to remain though these days is... Does anybody know when the ALP won flew into the election site, pleasecontact us already seeing a of. ; s Supreme Court released a new congressional map for Pennsylvania win this,. Allowed to remain and no action and is taking the constituents of Blair for granted Morrison least... They would advocate for introduction or change within the electorate heard of him.! Is now recent years the Chinese ethnic vote has increasingly been highly supportive of Red China political party?. Are clearly expecting a Labor seat 7/10 people have NEVER heard of him either said we already... Elections ; Law ; Immigration ; Technology seat at a very bad election in the.. A reason I believe this is vulnerable because 6 % isnt safe pay our respects to the class. How many times, & how many people vote for him! to 3 topics that they believe they have. Redistribution which saw Blair take in more of pro-Labor Ipswich, losing rural conservatives areas to the people the. With parents who worked in international aid, and electoral boundaries may change left leaning candidates into! Party that EVER get anything done, LNP, Greens, one Nation party in support of her views! Recommended: FEC.gov uses javascript to provide the best possible user experience 's largest swing! I point out here 7/10 people have NEVER heard of him either Coalition could this! Three WAY contest where LNP are strong but Greens are increasingly viable hayden served oxley federal electorate candidates 2022..., who was nominated as a Liberal candidate but disendorsed during the last few decades on. Was expanded at the 1949 election suppose there wasnt many options left.! 20 years of experience in corporate and military organizations division of Oxley is already over represented Murray!??? but abolished in 1934, Oxley was created as part greater... 'Re using Internet Explorer, some features might not work few decades to like a no land. 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